BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 4 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight card at Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some strong contests considering that is a free card and I look forward to chasing the GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I won my first seat into it a few weeks ago and I will try to get my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a handful of entries at the $25k decoration, then I will likely have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900
There actually aren’t any money game locks this week for me personally but I moved with Yana since I fully expect this battle to go all 3 rounds so that I enjoy the floor she brings to the table. In addition, I think she wins the fight and I believe she is going to be the fighter going for takedowns. I don’t know how large her ceiling is but in money games it doesn’t really matter too much since we do not need to strike 1st place in a double-up. I would anticipate about 10x from Yana at a choice win and I’ll take that all day in my cash games.
GPP drama of the week — Louis Smolka — $8,300
Smolka fights tend to score highly because there are a lot of scrambles and all the grappling advances really add up. I anticipate this to be a very fun battle, but it should be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I’m always trying to find a minimum of 10x from my fighters and at $8.3k I would be shocked if Smolka didn’t get that with a win. The lowest he’s ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he’s even scored 162 vs Nguyen and he’s got a 61-point reduction to Elliott that is more DK points than Schnell’s win over Beltran. I adore Smolka as a GPP play here and if he wins I’d anticipate near 100 DK points.
Play of the week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000
To get a struggle I expect to stay standing, I’ve quite a lot of interest in this fight. I believe it’s going to be an action-packed struggle and I think somebody gets knocked out. This is likewise the mid-range struggle of this week, so that I feel a KO from either guy would have a good chance to put them on the optimal lineup. I enjoy it even more because I’m choosing the underdog to get the knockout and that I anticipate Millender to function as greater owned fighter. I will have this fight in more than half my lineups, but that I will most likely have at least double the ownership on dos Santos over Millender. I believe it’s a better GPP fight than it is for money games, but I believe dos Santos is in play for money since he is an underdog and that I have him winning. I don’t feel confident in several underdogs this week, however I’ll have a fantastic amount of exposure to dos Santos.
Fade of this week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200)
At $9.2K. Martin will require a finish at the wages and that I don’t see that happening. If he wins a clear 30-27 decision, then he likely scores mid 70’s and at his price tag which will not win anybody a GPP. I don’t think he goes for takedowns in this matchup and I believe he uses his wrestling to help keep the fight standing. Even if he does go for takedowns then I do not see him filing Moraes. So, it needs to be a KO from him to pay off that wages and I am not inclined to take this risk with my money. That’s why he’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I’m 61-37 for +209.69 (+$20,969) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

Read more: http://villaaurelia.com.pl/archives/29531

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>